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Newsflash Archives > Rosario's Choice

Rosario's Choice

- by Dr. Robert Moynihan, Editor, Inside the Vatican

VATICAN CITY, Friday, April 15, 2005

I dined at Roberto's this evening, a well-known restaurant on the Borgo Pio here in Rome, a few steps from the Vatican's high walls.

Rosario was my waiter.

A New York Times' reporter strolled over to my table. He was writing a feature story about Roberto's, and wanted to ask me a few questions. I told him Roberto's was a great "listening post." I told him that spies used to dine here -- before the "Iron Curtain" came down and the old spies were all thrown out of work, and their expense accounts cut off. Times change.

Now, Rosario is a great waiter. He always has a smile on his face. He's thoughtful and efficient.

But tonight he stepped out of his waiter's role and told me a remarkable story. It was like this.

"Who do you like among the cardinals?" Rosario asked me, in slightly fractured English (he likes to practice his English with me). Of course, he, like almost everyone in Rome, is waiting for the white smoke. "Who will be the next Pope, according to you?"

I told him a name. A special one. The name of a man I believe has a great heart, deep humanity, piercing authenticity, marvelous simplicity.

"I like him," I said. "I don't know if he will be chosen, but I think he would be a Pope who would make the poor people of the world rejoice, to have someone so compassionate on their side, on the Throne of Peter..."

Rosario's eyes lit up.

"Of course!" he said. "Yes!"

I was surprised.

I hadn't really expected my waiter to know any of the cardinals, or to demonstrate any familiarity with the specific man I had named.

"You know him?" I asked.

"Sure, of course," said Rosario. "He sometimes eats here."

He grew silent for a moment. I chewed on my "gnocchi" (potato balls in red sauce -- it was Thursday, that is, "Giovedi", and, as they say in Italy, "giovedi gnocchi", that is, "on Thursday, eat gnocchi").

"How do you know him?" I asked, marveling. I was thinking to myself: what is he going to tell me?

"Well, Bob," he said, "I'm usually a very joyful fellow, but one night a couple of years ago I was just very depressed. I was really in terrible shape, I had been having problems with my wife, and my work, and my health, and everything was just terrible, very bad. And he came into the restaurant, and I talked to him. And after just a few words, I felt such a peace and serenity come over me, that I cannot express it to you now, I have no words for it. I love the man. He helped me so much."

"So you think he is very human, very kind?"

"Very human, very human and very kind, yes, that's it, that's him."

And then he started to tell other stories, of how he has seen this cardinal walking in the streets of Rome, carrying his own groceries in a plastic bag, doing his own shopping.

"He's friendly with everyone," Rosario said. "You know, now that you mention him, I can say that we Italians could not dream of having a better man as our next Pope."

That's Rosario’s judgment.

If any journalists want to go ask Rosario who he is referring to, you can find him at Roberto's.

-------

On Thursday, the cardinals continued to meet to discuss the issues that face the Church and the world, which the next Pope will have to address. The conclave will begin on Monday afternoon, in three and a half days.

This is the official Vatican statement on the meetings held on Thursday, April 14:

Today, at the end of the tenth General Congregation of Cardinals in the period of the vacant see, Holy See Press Office Director Joaquin Navarro-Valls released the following statement to journalists:

The tenth General Congregation began this morning at 9 in the New Synod Hall. There were 142 cardinals present.

After the invocation to the Holy Spirit, the cardinals listened to the first of the meditations concerning the problems of the Church and the enlightened choice of the new Pontiff (Apostolic Constitution, Universi Dominici gregis, no. 13d) given by Fr. Raniero Cantalamessa, O.F.M. Cap., preacher of the Papal Household.

At the end of the meditation the cardinals dedicated a period of time to silence and prayer.

As of today the following are part of the Particular Congregation: Cardinals Giovanni Battista Re for the Order of Bishops, Oscar Andres Rodriguez Maradiaga for the Order of Priests and Crescenzio Sepe for the Order of Deacons.

There was a drawing of lots for the assignments of the rooms the cardinals will occupy in the Domus Sanctae Marthae.

Following several clarifications on the interpretation of the Apostolic Constitution Universi Dominici gregis, the cardinals resumed an exchange of ideas on the situation of the Church and the world.

With the Regina Coeli prayer, today's General Congregation concluded.
---------------

This evening, the Italian journalist Sandro Magister published a very interesting column in L'Espresso, the Italian equivalent of a magazine like Newsweek.

By chance, I dined with Sandro a few weeks ago -- at Roberto's.

Sandro entitled his piece "Progressives, Moderates, Neocons: Notes Before the Conclave."

I don't agree with everything Sandro writes, but he writes with great insight and knows people I don't know, so his words are worth reading and sifting.

Sandro says that, on one side, are "Ratzinger, Ruini, Bergoglio, Scola with their proposal for a new 'Papal Revolution.'"

On the other side, are a group of more "progressive" cardinals, "with Tettamanzi as the man for all seasons."

Like many others, Sandro believes that Ratzinger is "the favorite" as of today. "The indisputable front runner in this conclave at the beginning of the third millennium is...Joseph Ratzinger."

Noting that the votes needed to win are two-thirds of 115 cardinals, or 77 votes, Sandro argues that Ratzinger will open the conclave with nearly that number.

But, Sandro argues, Ratzinger and his party are feared by some cardinals, because the program they have presented to the cardinal electors is "fearsome and demanding." He writes: "They want 'a Church that is not folded in upon itself, not timid, not lacking in trust, a Church burning with the love of Christ for the salvation of all men,' as Cardinal Camillo Ruini said in a homily at a Saint Peter’s basilica overflowing with crowds, two days after the funeral for John Paul II."

Sandro argues that Ratzinger and Ruini have, in recent months, been preparing for the "post-Wojtyla" transition, attracting to their standard "many leading cardinals...some of them likely candidates for the papacy themselves."

He continues: "In the curia there is the German cardinal Walter Kasper, one of Ratzinger and Ruini’s scholarly colleagues since the three were simple theology professors. In Latin America, there is the Argentine of Italian origin Jorge Mario Bergoglio, archbishop of Buenos Aires. In the United States, there is Francis E. George, archbishop of Chicago. In Canada, there is Marc Ouellet, archbishop of Québec. In Australia, there is George Pell, archbishop of Sydney. In Eastern Europe there is Józef Glemp, archbishop of Warsaw. In Italy, there are Angelo Scola, patriarch of Venice, and Giacomo Biffi, archbishop emeritus of Bologna. This is the framework for the neoconservative party whose beacon is Ratzinger."

He continues: "Another group of cardinals that has recently drawn closer to this party is the circle of cardinals who are friends of Opus Dei, led by the two who are members of Opus: in the Vatican, Julián Herranz, the leading authority on canon law in the curia, and in Latin America, Juan Luis
Cipriani Thorne, archbishop of Lima."

What does this Ratzinger-Ruini-Scola-Bergoglio group want? "They want a resumption of the active management of the Church's ordinary governance, its cleansing from 'filthiness,' a reinforcement of the doctrinal and moral formation of the clergy, a renewal of basic evangelization and the teaching of the catechism, a qualitative improvement in the celebration of the liturgy, a new missionary campaign."

In short, they want to really get to work to re-build the Church.

The problem is, that this program will likely lead to a head-on confrontation with what John Paul II used to call "the culture of death" and with what is commonly called "secular humanism."

Sandro writes: "The most fearsome conflict of the next decades, Ratzinger and Ruini have both said on numerous occasions, will not be that between the Church and Islam, but rather the cultural conflict between the Church and 'the radical emancipation of man from God and from the roots of life,' which characterizes contemporary Western culture and which 'leads in the end to the destruction of freedom.' For the neoconservative cardinals, the Church’s commitment to
this clash centered in the West must be given absolute priority in the next pontificate."

In short, if this group wins the papacy, instead of a "clash of civilizations" between the West and Islam, there will be a cultural clash within Western culture between Christian faith and secular humanism, seen as inimical to true human freedom and happiness.

Sandro then makes a very interesting argument about the "progressivist" response to what he terms this "neo-conservative" vision of Ratzinger and Ruini and the others.

The "progressives" object to the "priority the neoconservatives give to the confrontation between the Church and secular culture over the vision of man and life."

What is he saying? It isn't entirely clear. But he seems to be saying that the more progressive cardinals fear that the Ratzinger-Ruini group, concerned about theology and catechetics and liturgy will forget the suffering poor of the Third World -- and of the First World as well. They will forget the great issues of social justice.

Sandro writes: "Cardinals like Cláudio Hummes, archbishop of San Paolo in Brazil, and Oscar Andrés Rodriguez Maradiaga, archbishop of Tegucigalpa in Honduras, maintain that such a priority is too restricted to the Western context, and want the Church to give first place instead to the commitment for justice, peace, and the protection of creation."

Then there are the "typically liberal" objections to the Ratzinger-Ruini position. These "liberals" propose "making the Church more democratic internally and a greater relationship of 'sharing' with the culture and custom widespread in the West," Sandro argues. These "liberals" call "for new solutions on priestly celibacy, women’s roles, communion for divorced persons who have remarried."

Then Sandro names the cardinals in favor of this approach: "Godfried Danneels, archbishop of Brussels, Roger Mahony, archbishop of Los Angeles, Keith Michael P. O’Brien, archbishop of Edinburgh, and Stephen Fumio Hamao, a Japanese cardinal working in the curia. Cardinal Carlo Maria Martini can also be assigned to this current, and was its preferred papal candidate for many years."

Then Sandro adds a final, very interesting dimension to his analysis. He says that, alongside the Ratzinger-Ruini group, and the Hummes-Maradiaga group, there is a group of "moderates" who "have a real possibility of success."

Again Sandro names names. He says: "Among its (the "moderate" group's) most visible exponents are the cardinals of the curia Angelo Sodano, Giovanni Battista Re, and Crescenzio Sepe, who are rivals among themselves for many reasons, but are united in creating resistance and disruption against the project of Ratzinger and the neoconservatives."

He adds, in a passage which I cannot confirm or deny, but which I am not totally persuaded by: "In the days immediately following the death of John Paul II, while the cardinals were gradually arriving in Rome, these three went into a frenetic lobbying effort with the help of other members of the curia who are unable to enter the conclave because they are over 80 years of age, but are also very active: Achille Silvestrini and Pio Laghi. Neither Sodano, nor Re, nor Sepe can entertain the illusion of having a chance of being elected. But the handful of votes that each of them controls could raise the chances of the only identifiable real candidate in the swampland of the moderates: Dionigi Tettamanzi, archbishop of Milan. The affiliates of the Community of Saint Egidio have also moved into action on Tettamanzi’s behalf. They are very adept at influencing the third rank of cardinals, and especially the Italian and international press, a modern substitute for the power of pressure and veto that was once the prerogative of kings."

In short, what Sandro is saying is that, if Ratzinger is blocked, and the "progressives" are not acceptable to the Ratzinger-Ruini group, the "moderates" may propose, as a "compromise candidate," Tettamanzi.

Sandro concludes of Tettamanzi: "If elected, he will be hailed as the most progressivist Pope possible, an incomparable defender of the status quo."

In other words, "all things to all men" or, in Sandro's phrase, "a man for all seasons."

Sandro then supplies the following "short list" of six names, with brief biographies, in alphabetical order. I reproduced Sandro's exact words here, even his mention of a cardinal "boring everybody," simply to show what type of thing people are reading in Italy, and on the Internet, about these men:

JORGE MARIO BERGOGLIO. Archbishop of Buenos Aires, 69 years of age, born in Argentina to parents who had emigrated from the Italian region of Piemonte. Since 2002 he has continually been the Latin American cardinal with the best probability of being elected, in spite of never having lifted a finger to present himself as a candidate: in the conclave, it is Ratzinger’s party that would launch his candidacy. As a bishop, instead of sermons on social justice he preached to the
Argentines in the thick of economic disaster that they should put into practice the ten commandments and the Gospel beatitudes.

CLAUDIO HUMMES. Archbishop of San Paolo in Brazil, 71 years old. As a young bishop, he got himself mixed up in the struggles of laborers and farmers. He then espoused more moderate principles, became close to the charismatics, and was promoted to the largest diocese in Brazil. Lately he has again advanced proposals for social justice and has gained the public support of his friend, president Luiz Inácio da Silva Lula. He is the progressivist alternative to the neoconservative Bergoglio, in the case in which the conclave would opt for a Latin American. But when he was called to the Vatican to preach at the Lenten retreat for the pope and the curia, he ended up boring everybody.

JOSEPH RATZINGER. A German, he was the pillar of doctrine during the pontificate of John Paul II, especially toward the very end. In spite of the fact that he is 78 years old, there would be nothing of the short-term papacy about his election: the scenario he has designated for the Church during the following decades is almost revolutionary, and has won him respect and agreement from beyond the neocon cardinals closest to him, but also strong resistance. If he is chosen, the team he selects will be important: he has never shown great skill in the practical matters of governance.

CAMILLO RUINI. Vicar of the diocese of Rome and president of the Italian bishops’ conference, 74 years old. Unlike Ratzinger, to whom he is very close intellectually, he excels for his ability to command. In the autumn of 2003 he was the one who filled the gap left in regard to Iraq and the Middle East by a confused and uncertain Vatican secretariat of state: the turning point was his homily for the Italian soldiers killed in Nassiriya. As head of the Italian bishops’ conference, he gave the Church unprecedented public prominence in Italy. He has rarely appeared in the current lists of candidates for the papacy.

ANGELO SCOLA. Patriarch of Venice, 64 years old. He is the youngest and least experienced of the papal candidates in the party of Ratzinger and Ruini. He was the star pupil of Fr. Luigi Giussani, founder of Communion and Liberation, and one of the model students of Hans Urs von Balthasar, a theological giant of the second half of the twentieth century, together with two of the other most recently appointed cardinals, Philippe Barbarin of France and Marc Ouellet of French Canada. He has created an institute of higher study in Venice, the Marcianum, and founded a magazine published in multiple languages, including Arabic and Urdu, "Oasis," as a bridge to the East and in
order to favor, not a clash, but a "hybrid of civilizations."

DIONIGI TETTAMANZI. Archbishop of Milan, 71 years of age. He is the only Italian cardinal outside of the curia who has campaigned to be the Pope. But his chances of being elected depend upon the defeat of the neoconservative party of Ratzinger, Ruini, Bergoglio, Scola, etc. at the conclave. And they presuppose that he would receive the votes of the Latin American progressivists, the European liberals, the circles in the curia represented by Sodano and Re, and other cardinals influenced by the Community of Sant 'Egidio and Focolare. Tettamanzi
would need to satisfy all of them, as the master of compromise that he is. (English translation by Matthew Sherry: mailto:traduttore@hotmail.com. Sandro Magister’s e-mail address is s.magister@espressoedit.it)

----------

This, then, is the situation.

Ratzinger is very strong right now. He is a bit old at 78. Some Italians and the more "progressive" faction oppose him, with Tettamanzi or Antonelli as an alternative.

Ratzinger could hand off to his pupil, Scola. Scola could hand off to Bergoglio. Tettamanzi and Antonelli could hand off to Sodano, as an alternative to Ratzinger-Ruini-Scola, then, deadlocked, perhaps to Hummes, as they oscillate between Italy and Latin America.

If Hummes vs. Bergoglio (for example) deadlocked, the Ratzinger group could again try Europe with Schoenborn, while the more "progressive" Italian/Latin American group could try Maradiaga of Honduras.

Some in Rome would still like to look toward Dias of India, but this might be a feint in order to rally support against Ratzinger and, having cut him off, putting Tettamanzi forward.

But there is still another alternative: a man who is very gentle and holy, who comes from a very poor family and yet is doctrinally conservative. He would be socially in profound solidarity with all the world's poor, but still very theologically sound, in this sense, reconciling the "factions" Sandro describes above.

He is Rosario's choice.

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